Today / Shkupi vs Vardar
Shkupi vs Vardar Prediction
Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00
// Model verdict
Away
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home POOR (0.08)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 98% / xG 0.3-4.8 / O2.5 88% / NoBTTS 26%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 88.1% · O3.5 PROB 74.4%
Form & verdict
SHKUPI · PPG 0.08
VARDAR · PPG 2.31
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home POOR (0.08)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Shkupi face Vardar on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shkupi a 0% chance, the draw 2% and Vardar 98%, so Vardar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Shkupi and 4.8 for Vardar (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shkupi are averaging 0.08 points per game versus 2.31 for Vardar. This match finished 0-7.