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Redlands vs B. Strikers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 10 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 10:30

Redlands

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

B. Strikers

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-16.0%0-26.8%0-35.1%0-4+4.9%1 1-03.6%1-18.2%1-29.3%1-37.0%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.5%2-15.6%2-26.3%2-34.8%2-4+4.6%3 3-01.1%3-12.6%3-22.9%3-32.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.2%4+-21.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% 27.4% 3.65 -9.2%

Draw 23.7% 25.0% 4.00 -3.1%

Away win 53.1% 57.8% 1.73 -8.1%

Over 2.5 61.7% 73.5% 1.36 -16.1%

Over 3.5 49.1% 51.8% 1.93 -5.2%

BTTS 59.4% 73.5% 1.36 -19.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob59.4%

A 53% / xG 1.4-2.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.2%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 1–3 7.0%

#4 0–2 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Redlands1.4

B. Strikers2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

REDLANDS · PPG 1.40

B. STRIKERS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Redlands (H) 23.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -9.2%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -3.1%

B. Strikers (A) 53.1%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -8.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Redlands face B. Strikers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Redlands a 23% chance, the draw 24% and B. Strikers 53%, so B. Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Redlands and 2.3 for B. Strikers (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Redlands are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.00 for B. Strikers. This match finished 1-1.

Redlands vs B. Strikers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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