Today / Napoli U20 vs Bologna U20

Napoli U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Napoli U20

PPG 1.31 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Bologna U20

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-114.6%0-28.8%0-33.6%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.9%2-16.0%2-23.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 29.3% — — —

Away win 43.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.6% — — —

Over 3.5 16.5% — — —

BTTS 41.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob41.9%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.6%

#2 1–1✓ 13.2%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Napoli U200.9

Bologna U201.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.6% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NAPOLI U20 · PPG 1.31

BOLOGNA U20 · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.31) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Napoli U20 (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bologna U20 (A) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Napoli U20 face Bologna U20 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Napoli U20 a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Bologna U20 43%, so Bologna U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Napoli U20 and 1.2 for Bologna U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Napoli U20 are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.75 for Bologna U20. This match finished 1-1.

Napoli U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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