Today / Cagliari U20 vs Cesena U20

Cagliari U20 vs Cesena U20 Prediction

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Cagliari U20

PPG 1.19 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Cesena U20

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-16.2%0-26.1%0-33.9%0-4+3.0%1 1-04.8%1-19.3%1-29.1%1-35.9%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.6%2-17.0%2-26.8%2-34.4%2-4+3.4%3 3-01.8%3-13.5%3-23.4%3-32.2%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.8%4+-21.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 48.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.2% — — —

BTTS 66.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.6%

A 48% / xG 1.5-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cagliari U201.5

Cesena U202.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CAGLIARI U20 · PPG 1.19

CESENA U20 · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Cagliari U20 (H) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cesena U20 (A) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cagliari U20 face Cesena U20 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cagliari U20 a 30% chance, the draw 22% and Cesena U20 48%, so Cesena U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cagliari U20 and 2.0 for Cesena U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cagliari U20 are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.25 for Cesena U20. This match finished 2-0.

Cagliari U20 vs Cesena U20 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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