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Hannover 96 B vs Drochtersen.A. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Hannover 96 B

PPG 1.62 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Drochtersen.A.

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 77.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-14.2%0-25.3%0-34.3%0-4+4.8%1 1-02.7%1-16.8%1-28.4%1-36.9%1-4+7.7%2 2-02.2%2-15.4%2-26.6%2-35.5%2-4+6.1%3 3-01.1%3-12.8%3-23.5%3-32.9%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.6%4+-22.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% 41.7% 2.40 -42.4%

Draw 18.9% 26.0% 3.85 -27.2%

Away win 57.1% 42.9% 2.33 +33.0%

Over 2.5 77.1% 70.4% 1.42 +9.5%

Over 3.5 57.9% 47.6% 2.10 +21.6%

BTTS 72.9% 72.5% 1.38 +0.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob72.9%

A 57% / xG 1.6-2.5 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 8.4%

#2 1–3 6.9%

#3 1–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hannover 96 B1.6

Drochtersen.A.2.5

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.1% · O3.5 PROB 57.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HANNOVER 96 B · PPG 1.62

DROCHTERSEN.A. · PPG 1.69

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Hannover 96 B (H) 24.0%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -42.4%

Draw 18.9%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -27.2%

Drochtersen.A. (A) 57.1%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +33.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hannover 96 B face Drochtersen.A. in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hannover 96 B a 24% chance, the draw 19% and Drochtersen.A. 57%, so Drochtersen.A. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hannover 96 B and 2.5 for Drochtersen.A. (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hannover 96 B are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.69 for Drochtersen.A.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Hannover 96 B vs Drochtersen.A. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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