New York City face Los Angeles FC on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York City a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Los Angeles FC 45%, so Los Angeles FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for New York City and 1.8 for Los Angeles FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York City are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.60 for Los Angeles FC.
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.14) vs Away GOOD (1.60)