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GKS Katowice W vs Stomilanki O. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 13:00

GKS Katowice W logo
GKS Katowice W
PPG 1.63 · HOME
5 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Stomilanki O. W logo
Stomilanki O. W
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.6%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.9%1-12.4%1-21.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.0%2-14.9%2-23.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.6%3-16.8%3-24.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-017.7%4+-121.5%4+-213.0%4+-35.3%4+-4+2.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 70.7%
Draw 20.6%
Away win 8.7%
Over 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 78.3%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 87%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-0
xG (home)4.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.5%

H 71% / xG 4.2-1.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 7.0%
#2 3–1 6.8%
#3 5–1 5.8%
#4 4–0 5.8%
#5 3–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GKS Katowice W4.2
Stomilanki O. W1.2

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 78.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GKS KATOWICE W · PPG 1.63

STOMILANKI O. W · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.63), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

GKS Katowice W (H) 70.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Stomilanki O. W (A) 8.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GKS Katowice W face Stomilanki O. W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GKS Katowice W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Stomilanki O. W 9%, so GKS Katowice W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for GKS Katowice W and 1.2 for Stomilanki O. W (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GKS Katowice W are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.75 for Stomilanki O. W. This match finished 5-0.

PredictVantage

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