Today / Dila Gori vs Iberia

Dila Gori vs Iberia Prediction

Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Dila Gori

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Iberia

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.0%0-118.7%0-29.8%0-33.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.1%1-112.6%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.1%2-14.3%2-22.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.9%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.6% — — —

Draw 34.1% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 9.6% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.9%

A 41% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.0%

#2 0–1✓ 18.7%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dila Gori0.7

Iberia1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DILA GORI · PPG 1.40

IBERIA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Dila Gori (H) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iberia (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dila Gori face Iberia on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dila Gori a 25% chance, the draw 34% and Iberia 41%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Dila Gori and 1.0 for Iberia (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dila Gori are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.00 for Iberia. This match finished 0-1.

Dila Gori vs Iberia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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