Today / Gyori ETO W vs Szent Mihaly W

Gyori ETO W vs Szent Mihaly W Prediction

Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Gyori ETO W
PPG 2.11 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Szent Mihaly W
PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.4%0-21.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.0%1-14.5%1-23.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.8%2-17.1%2-25.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.1%3-17.5%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-09.0%4+-113.2%4+-29.7%4+-34.8%4+-4+2.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 58.0%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 21.3%
Over 2.5 73.3%
Over 3.5 68.2%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.0%

H 58% / xG 3.2-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.5%
#2 2–1 7.1%
#3 4–1 6.0%
#4 3–2 5.5%
#5 2–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO W3.2
Szent Mihaly W1.5

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO W · PPG 2.11

SZENT MIHALY W · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO W (H) 58.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Szent Mihaly W (A) 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO W face Szent Mihaly W on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO W a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Szent Mihaly W 21%, so Gyori ETO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Gyori ETO W and 1.5 for Szent Mihaly W (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO W are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.11 for Szent Mihaly W. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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