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KF Tirana vs Vllaznia S. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 14:00

KF Tirana

PPG 1.12 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Vllaznia S.

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.5%0-117.3%0-29.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.5%1-113.0%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.7%2-14.9%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.2%3-11.2%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% — — —

Draw 35.4% — — —

Away win 37.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 10.9% — — —

BTTS 46.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.6%

D 35% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.5%

#2 0–1 17.3%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 1–0✓ 12.5%

#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KF Tirana0.8

Vllaznia S.1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 10.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KF TIRANA · PPG 1.12

VLLAZNIA S. · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.12), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

KF Tirana (H) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vllaznia S. (A) 37.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KF Tirana face Vllaznia S. in Albania - Superliga on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KF Tirana a 27% chance, the draw 35% and Vllaznia S. 37%, so Vllaznia S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for KF Tirana and 1.0 for Vllaznia S. (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KF Tirana are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 1.12 for Vllaznia S.. This match finished 1-0.

KF Tirana vs Vllaznia S. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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