Bolnisi face Gori on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bolnisi a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Gori 22%, so Bolnisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bolnisi and 0.5 for Gori (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bolnisi are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.40 for Gori. This match finished 1-1.
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=49.9%