Today / Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang

Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang Prediction

Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Yunnan Yukun

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zhejiang

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.2%0-21.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-04.7%1-16.2%1-24.0%1-31.7%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.5%2-18.5%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.0%3-17.9%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-110.6%4+-26.9%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 58.0% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 58% / xG 2.8-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1 6.2%

#4 2–0 6.5%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yunnan Yukun2.8

Zhejiang1.3

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 58.0%

Form & verdict PPG

YUNNAN YUKUN · PPG 1.75

ZHEJIANG · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

Yunnan Yukun (H) 58.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zhejiang (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yunnan Yukun face Zhejiang on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yunnan Yukun a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Zhejiang 21%, so Yunnan Yukun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.3 for Zhejiang (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yunnan Yukun are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Zhejiang. This match finished 1-2.

Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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