Yunnan Yukun face Zhejiang on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yunnan Yukun a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Zhejiang 21%, so Yunnan Yukun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.3 for Zhejiang (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yunnan Yukun are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Zhejiang. This match finished 1-2.
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=58.0%