Today / Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Prediction
Wednesday, May 6, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 58% / xG 2.5-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.8%
Form & verdict
SHANGHAI PORT · PPG 1.80
SHENZHEN · PPG 0.00
No PPG data
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Shanghai Port face Shenzhen on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Port a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Shenzhen 21%, so Shanghai Port are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Shanghai Port and 1.1 for Shenzhen (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Port are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.00 for Shenzhen. This match finished 1-1.