Kolos Kovalivka vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 24 Kolos Stadium· Kovalivka Saturday, April 18, 2026 10:00

Kolos Kovalivka PPG 1.36

1-0 HIT CS3

LNZ Cherkasy PPG 2.55

Draw· +4.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolos Kovalivka face LNZ Cherkasy in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolos Kovalivka a 17% chance, the draw 37% and LNZ Cherkasy 47%, so LNZ Cherkasy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.9 for LNZ Cherkasy (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 22% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolos Kovalivka are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 2.55 for LNZ Cherkasy. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -40.8%

Draw 36.6%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +4.3%

Away 46.5%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -0.0%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 16.4% Odds: 3.10 -49.2%

Over 3.5 5.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 21.9% Odds: 2.40 -47.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kolos Kovalivka

0.45

LNZ Cherkasy

0.94

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.55) vs Home AVERAGE (1.36)