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Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 14 Alfredo Ramos stadium· Buenos Aires Monday, May 4, 2026 23:00
Comunicaciones logo Comunicaciones PPG 1.67
3-2 MISS
Ituzaingo logo Ituzaingo PPG 0.17
Draw· -3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -8.0%
Draw 31.0%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -3.9%
Away 15.7%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -21.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.55 -13.3%
Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: 4.50 -30.7%
BTTS 38.1% Odds: 2.25 -14.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Comunicaciones
1.40
Ituzaingo
0.66

Model Suggestion

Home -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 65%
ROI 16.1%
Bet Hit 52% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=53.2%

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