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Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana
Regular Season - 14
Alfredo Ramos stadium· Buenos Aires
Monday, May 4, 2026
23:00
Comunicaciones
PPG 1.67
3-2
MISS
Ituzaingo
PPG 0.17
Draw· -3.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
53.2%
Odds: 1.73
EV: -8.0%
Draw
31.0%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -3.9%
Away
15.7%
Odds: 5.00
EV: -21.5%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
34.0%
Odds: 2.55
-13.3%
Over 3.5
15.4%
Odds: 4.50
-30.7%
BTTS
38.1%
Odds: 2.25
-14.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Comunicaciones
1.40
Ituzaingo
0.66
Model Suggestion
Home
-8.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 85 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
71%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
65%
ROI
16.1%
Bet Hit
52%
(23 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=53.2%