Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 35 Hill Dickinson Stadium· Liverpool Monday, May 4, 2026 19:00

Everton PPG 1.29

3-3 MISS

Manchester City PPG 1.82

Home· +63.8% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.2%

Odds: 6.50 EV: +63.8%

Draw 29.2%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +28.5%

Away 45.6%

Odds: 1.45 EV: -33.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.6% Odds: 1.62 -21.3%

Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 2.55 -31.7%

BTTS 53.8% Odds: 1.75 -5.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton

1.09

Manchester City

1.53

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+63.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)