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Hungary - NB II logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB II Regular Season - 28 Illovszky Rudolf Stadion· Budapest Monday, May 4, 2026 18:00
Vasas logo Vasas PPG 2.15
3-2 MISS
Budafoki logo Budafoki PPG 0.69
Away· +57.3% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.0%
Odds: 1.17 EV: -22.8%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +27.0%
Away 12.1%
Odds: 13.00 EV: +57.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.4% Odds: 1.53 -12.2%
Over 3.5 35.0% Odds: 2.25 -21.3%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.15 +10.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasas
2.15
Budafoki
0.84

Model Suggestion

Home -22.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+57.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 55%
ROI -21.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.15), Away POOR (0.69) - Strong consensus

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