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Soroksar vs Csakvar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:30

Soroksar

PPG 2.10 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Csakvar

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.5%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.2%1-19.5%1-24.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.8%3-16.9%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-15.9%4+-23.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% 57.1% 1.75 -0.9%

Draw 21.9% 29.4% 3.40 -15.3%

Away win 21.4% 26.3% 3.80 -11.2%

Over 2.5 60.9% 55.6% 1.80 +9.6%

Over 3.5 37.9% 38.2% 2.62 -0.7%

BTTS 55.0% 61.7% 1.62 -10.9%

Home O1.5 59.6% 57.8% 1.73 +3.1%

Away O1.5 32.6% 34.2% 2.92 -4.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.0%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Soroksar2.1

Csakvar1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SOROKSAR · PPG 2.10

CSAKVAR · PPG 1.02

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.07 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Soroksar (H) 56.6%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -0.9%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.3%

Csakvar (A) 21.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Soroksar face Csakvar in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Soroksar a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Csakvar 21%, so Soroksar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Soroksar and 1.0 for Csakvar (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Soroksar are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.02 for Csakvar. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +30.4%. This match finished 6-0.

Soroksar vs Csakvar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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