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Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ramtha Prediction— Jordan - League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 15:00

Shabab Al Ordon

PPG 1.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Ramtha

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-18.4%0-25.6%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.0%1-112.0%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.4%2-18.6%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.1%3-14.1%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 36.4% 2.75 +9.7%

Draw 24.3% 34.5% 2.90 -17.7%

Away win 35.9% 41.7% 2.40 -13.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 48.8% 2.05 +10.3%

Over 3.5 31.9% 28.6% 3.50 +11.7%

BTTS 55.9% 54.6% 1.83 +2.3%

Home O1.5 39.9% 36.4% 2.75 +9.7%

Away O1.5 42.2% 44.4% 2.25 -5.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 48.1%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.9%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 0–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shabab Al Ordon1.4

Al Ramtha1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SHABAB AL ORDON · PPG 1.27

AL RAMTHA · PPG 1.62

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shabab Al Ordon (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +9.7%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -17.7%

Al Ramtha (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shabab Al Ordon face Al Ramtha in Jordan - League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shabab Al Ordon a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Al Ramtha 36%, so Shabab Al Ordon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shabab Al Ordon and 1.3 for Al Ramtha (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shabab Al Ordon are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.62 for Al Ramtha. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +17.9%.

Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ramtha Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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