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Al Wihdat vs Al Faisaly Prediction— Jordan - League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:30

Al Wihdat

PPG 2.01 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Faisaly

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-18.7%0-25.6%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.5%1-112.3%1-27.9%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.7%2-18.6%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.1%3-14.0%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 32.3% 3.10 +24.3%

Draw 25.0% 34.5% 2.90 -16.5%

Away win 34.9% 44.4% 2.25 -21.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 45.5% 2.20 +18.4%

Over 3.5 31.7% 25.0% 4.00 +26.8%

BTTS 55.9% 54.1% 1.85 +3.4%

Home O1.5 39.8% 30.8% 3.25 +29.3%

Away O1.5 38.2% 42.0% 2.38 -9.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 48.1%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.9%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wihdat1.4

Al Faisaly1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WIHDAT · PPG 2.01

AL FAISALY · PPG 1.69

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Wihdat (H) 40.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +24.3%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -16.5%

Al Faisaly (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -21.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wihdat face Al Faisaly in Jordan - League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wihdat a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Al Faisaly 35%, so Al Wihdat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Wihdat and 1.3 for Al Faisaly (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wihdat are averaging 2.01 points per game versus 1.69 for Al Faisaly. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +30.3%.

Al Wihdat vs Al Faisaly Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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