Today / Jordan - League / Al Hussein vs Al Jazeera

Al Hussein vs Al Jazeera Prediction— Jordan - League

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 17:30

Al Hussein

PPG 2.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Jazeera

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 61% chance

Model probability 59.5% vs bookmaker-implied 38.2% — a clear edge.

+55.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.5%0-25.2%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.4%1-111.5%1-27.9%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.8%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.3%3-14.5%3-23.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.4%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% 87.7% 1.14 -51.5%

Draw 23.4% 16.0% 6.25 +27.8%

Away win 34.1% 7.7% 13.00 +343.3%

Over 2.5 59.6% 61.7% 1.62 -3.5%

Over 3.5 36.4% 40.0% 2.50 -9.0%

BTTS 59.5% 38.2% 2.62 +55.9%

Home O1.5 40.9% 78.1% 1.28 -47.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 11.9% 8.40 +254.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 59%

ROI 35.6%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.5%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Hussein1.5

Al Jazeera1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL HUSSEIN · PPG 2.27

AL JAZEERA · PPG 1.42

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

61%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Hussein (H) 42.5%

ODDS 1.14 · IMPLIED 87.7% EV -51.5%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +27.8%

Al Jazeera (A) 34.1%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV +343.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Hussein face Al Jazeera in Jordan - League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Hussein a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Al Jazeera 34%, so Al Hussein are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Hussein and 1.4 for Al Jazeera (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Hussein are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.42 for Al Jazeera. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +364.6%.

Al Hussein vs Al Jazeera Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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