St George City vs Marconi S. Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 11 Penshurst Park Saturday, April 18, 2026 09:15

St George City PPG 1.60

1-2 HIT CS5

Marconi S. PPG 2.00

Away· +20.8% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

St George City face Marconi S. in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George City a 12% chance, the draw 21% and Marconi S. 67%, so Marconi S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for St George City and 1.9 for Marconi S. (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George City are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Marconi S.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.6%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -56.5%

Draw 21.3%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -24.4%

Away 67.1%

Odds: 1.80 EV: +20.8%

Model lean: Away

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.7% Odds: 1.90 -15.1%

Over 3.5 23.5% Odds: 3.25 -23.6%

BTTS 38.7% Odds: 1.77 -31.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-3 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

St George City

0.61

Marconi S.

1.85

Model SuggestionAway +20.8% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.60) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)