Today / Vrsac vs Jedinstvo U.

Vrsac vs Jedinstvo U. Prediction

Monday, May 4, 2026

Vrsac
PPG 1.50 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
Jedinstvo U.
PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-111.0%0-25.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.0%1-113.3%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.5%2-18.0%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.4%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.0%
Draw 33.2%
Away win 26.8%
Over 2.5 36.4%
Over 3.5 17.1%
BTTS 44.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.8%

H 40% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%
#2 0–0 11.6%
#3 1–0 14.0%
#4 0–1 11.0%
#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vrsac1.2
Jedinstvo U.0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VRSAC · PPG 1.50

JEDINSTVO U. · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Vrsac (H) 40.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 33.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Jedinstvo U. (A) 26.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vrsac face Jedinstvo U. on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vrsac a 40% chance, the draw 33% and Jedinstvo U. 27%, so Vrsac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vrsac and 0.9 for Jedinstvo U. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vrsac are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.06 for Jedinstvo U.. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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