Chelsea vs Nottm Forest Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 35 Stamford Bridge· London Monday, May 4, 2026 14:00

Chelsea PPG 1.35

1-3 MISS

Nottm Forest PPG 1.24

Away· +40.6% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%

Odds: 1.66 EV: -29.6%

Draw 29.0%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +10.2%

Away 28.7%

Odds: 4.90 EV: +40.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.2% Odds: 1.70 -13.0%

Over 3.5 29.1% Odds: 2.75 -20.0%

BTTS 56.6% Odds: 1.70 -3.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea

1.51

Nottm Forest

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away AVERAGE (1.24)