Today / Usce Novi B. vs Kabel Novi Sad

Usce Novi B. vs Kabel Novi Sad Prediction

Monday, May 4, 2026

Usce Novi B.

PPG 1.19 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Kabel Novi Sad

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-111.9%0-26.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.2%1-113.4%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.5%2-17.6%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.8%3-12.8%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% — — —

Draw 33.6% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 36.1% — — —

Over 3.5 16.9% — — —

BTTS 45.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.1%

D 34% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Usce Novi B.1.1

Kabel Novi Sad1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.1% · O3.5 PROB 16.9%

Form & verdict PPG

USCE NOVI B. · PPG 1.19

KABEL NOVI SAD · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

Usce Novi B. (H) 36.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kabel Novi Sad (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Usce Novi B. face Kabel Novi Sad on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Usce Novi B. a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Kabel Novi Sad 30%, so Usce Novi B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Usce Novi B. and 1.0 for Kabel Novi Sad (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Usce Novi B. are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.12 for Kabel Novi Sad. This match finished 1-4.

Usce Novi B. vs Kabel Novi Sad Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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