Today / Pharco vs A. Contractors

Pharco vs A. Contractors Prediction

Monday, May 4, 2026

Pharco

PPG 0.92 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

A. Contractors

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.0%0-117.7%0-27.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-112.7%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.4%2-14.6%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.3%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.6% — — —

Draw 39.6% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 20.7% — — —

Over 3.5 7.4% — — —

BTTS 31.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob31.1%

D 40% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 31%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.0%

#2 0–1 17.7%

#3 1–1✓ 12.7%

#4 1–0 15.1%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pharco0.7

A. Contractors0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 20.7% · O3.5 PROB 7.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PHARCO · PPG 0.92

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Pharco (H) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Contractors (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pharco face A. Contractors on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pharco a 27% chance, the draw 40% and A. Contractors 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pharco and 0.8 for A. Contractors (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pharco are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.17 for A. Contractors. This match finished 1-1.

Pharco vs A. Contractors Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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