Today / Ruzomberok W vs Trencin W

Ruzomberok W vs Trencin W Prediction

Group Stage ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 09:00

Ruzomberok W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Trencin W

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.8%0-23.8%0-32.6%0-4+2.1%1 1-03.6%1-17.4%1-27.4%1-35.0%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.3%3-14.7%3-24.8%3-33.2%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.7%4+-23.7%4+-32.5%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 40.7% — — —

Over 2.5 76.0% — — —

Over 3.5 56.4% — — —

BTTS 74.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob74.6%

A 41% / xG 2.0-2.0 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.4%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ruzomberok W2.0

Trencin W2.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.0% · O3.5 PROB 56.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RUZOMBEROK W · PPG 1.30

TRENCIN W · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

Ruzomberok W (H) 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trencin W (A) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ruzomberok W face Trencin W on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ruzomberok W a 39% chance, the draw 21% and Trencin W 41%, so Trencin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ruzomberok W and 2.0 for Trencin W (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ruzomberok W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.78 for Trencin W. This match finished 4-2.

Ruzomberok W vs Trencin W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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