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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 12 Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra· Ibarra Sunday, May 3, 2026 22:00
Leones Norte logo Leones Norte PPG 1.40
2-0 HIT CS5
Emelec logo Emelec PPG 0.80
Draw· +10.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.2%
Odds: 2.44 EV: -6.8%
Draw 36.1%
Odds: 3.05 EV: +10.1%
Away 25.7%
Odds: 2.98 EV: -23.4%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.0% Odds: 2.45 -31.4%
Over 3.5 11.5% Odds: 4.75 -45.4%
BTTS 37.6% Odds: 2.00 -24.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Leones Norte
1.03
Emelec
0.80

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)

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