Today / Juventus U20 vs Fiorentina U20

Juventus U20 vs Fiorentina U20 Prediction

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 09:00

Juventus U20 logo
Juventus U20
PPG 1.88 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Fiorentina U20 logo
Fiorentina U20
PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.7%0-24.6%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.9%1-111.0%1-27.7%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.5%2-19.0%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.6%3-15.0%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.0%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.6%
Draw 23.9%
Away win 32.5%
Over 2.5 58.6%
Over 3.5 36.2%
BTTS 60.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.7%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 1–0 7.9%
#4 1–2 7.7%
#5 0–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventus U201.6
Fiorentina U201.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.88

FIORENTINA U20 · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Juventus U20 (H) 43.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fiorentina U20 (A) 32.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventus U20 face Fiorentina U20 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventus U20 a 44% chance, the draw 24% and Fiorentina U20 33%, so Juventus U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Juventus U20 and 1.4 for Fiorentina U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventus U20 are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.19 for Fiorentina U20. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org