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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 12 Estadio Jocay· Manta Sunday, May 3, 2026 20:30
Delfin logo Delfin PPG 1.67
1-0 HIT CS3
Mushuc Runa logo Mushuc Runa PPG 0.40
Draw· +15.3% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.3%
Odds: 2.35 EV: -21.7%
Draw 37.8%
Odds: 3.05 EV: +15.3%
Away 28.9%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -9.0%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 24.6% Odds: 2.45 -39.7%
Over 3.5 9.5% Odds: 4.75 -54.9%
BTTS 35.0% Odds: 2.00 -30.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Delfin
0.90
Mushuc Runa
0.82

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=33.3%

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