Today / M. Boleslav U19 vs Plzen U19

M. Boleslav U19 vs Plzen U19 Prediction

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 09:00

M. Boleslav U19

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Plzen U19

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.0%0-24.4%0-33.3%0-4+3.1%1 1-03.2%1-17.2%1-28.0%1-35.9%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.2%2-35.3%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.7%3-13.9%3-24.3%3-33.2%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.6%4+-22.9%4+-32.2%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 47.9% — — —

Over 2.5 76.5% — — —

Over 3.5 57.1% — — —

BTTS 74.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob74.4%

A 48% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%

#2 2–2 7.2%

#3 1–1✓ 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

M. Boleslav U191.8

Plzen U192.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.5% · O3.5 PROB 57.1%

Form & verdict PPG

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 1.60

PLZEN U19 · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Win probability 1X2

M. Boleslav U19 (H) 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Plzen U19 (A) 47.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

M. Boleslav U19 face Plzen U19 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives M. Boleslav U19 a 32% chance, the draw 20% and Plzen U19 48%, so Plzen U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for M. Boleslav U19 and 2.2 for Plzen U19 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, M. Boleslav U19 are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.30 for Plzen U19. This match finished 1-1.

M. Boleslav U19 vs Plzen U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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