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Liniers vs Talleres R. E. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 18:30

Liniers logo
Liniers
PPG 1.33 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
Talleres R. E. logo
Talleres R. E.
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.3%0-118.3%0-27.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.2%1-112.4%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.2%2-14.2%2-21.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.2%3-11.0%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -20.0%
Draw 40.3% 37.7% 2.65 +6.8%
Away win 33.9% 40.0% 2.50 -15.3%
Over 2.5 19.1% 32.3% 3.10 -40.8%
Over 3.5 6.6% 16.7% 6.00 -60.4%
BTTS 29.5% 43.5% 2.30 -32.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 63%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob29.5%

D 40% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 19% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.3%
#2 0–1 18.3%
#3 1–1 12.4%
#4 1–0 15.2%
#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liniers0.7
Talleres R. E.0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 19.1% · O3.5 PROB 6.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LINIERS · PPG 1.33

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Liniers (H) 25.8%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -20.0%
Draw 40.3%
ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +6.8%
Talleres R. E. (A) 33.9%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liniers face Talleres R. E. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liniers a 26% chance, the draw 40% and Talleres R. E. 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Liniers and 0.8 for Talleres R. E. (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liniers are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Talleres R. E.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.8%. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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