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Ecuador - Liga Pro
Regular Season - 12
Estadio Bellavista· Ambato
Sunday, May 3, 2026
18:00
Macara
PPG 1.83
1-2
MISS
Orense
PPG 0.80
Draw· +0.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
45.6%
Odds: 2.00
EV: -8.8%
Draw
30.5%
Odds: 3.30
EV: +0.7%
Away
24.0%
Odds: 3.75
EV: -10.0%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
43.4%
Odds: 2.25
-2.4%
Over 3.5
22.4%
Odds: 4.33
-3.0%
BTTS
49.5%
Odds: 1.95
-3.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara
1.43
Orense
0.98
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 44 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
43%
O2.5/Under
48%
BTTS/No
52%
Score Hit
50%
ROI
1.8%
Bet Hit
53%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=45.6%