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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 12 Estadio Bellavista· Ambato Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:00
Macara logo Macara PPG 1.83
1-2 MISS
Orense logo Orense PPG 0.80
Draw· +0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.6%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -8.8%
Draw 30.5%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +0.7%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -10.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.4% Odds: 2.25 -2.4%
Over 3.5 22.4% Odds: 4.33 -3.0%
BTTS 49.5% Odds: 1.95 -3.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Macara
1.43
Orense
0.98

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=45.6%

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