Napredak vs Radnicki Nis Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Serbia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 34 Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:30

Napredak PPG 0.63

0-1 HIT CS4

Radnicki Nis PPG 0.59

Home· +186.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Napredak face Radnicki Nis in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Napredak a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Radnicki Nis 44%, so Radnicki Nis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Napredak and 1.6 for Radnicki Nis (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Napredak are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.59 for Radnicki Nis. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +186.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.9%

Odds: 10.25 EV: +186.0%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 4.55 EV: +29.2%

Away 43.8%

Odds: 1.29 EV: -43.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.0% Odds: 1.75 -7.2%

Over 3.5 30.7% Odds: 2.88 -11.6%

BTTS 57.7% Odds: 2.10 +21.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Napredak

1.22

Radnicki Nis

1.57

Model SuggestionBTTS +21.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+186.0%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.59)