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Javor Ivanjica vs IMT N. Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 17:30

Javor Ivanjica

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

IMT N. Beograd

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-18.5%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.4%1-112.4%1-26.8%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.1%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.0%3-14.4%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 37.3% 2.68 +17.1%

Draw 29.9% 31.3% 3.20 -4.3%

Away win 26.5% 40.3% 2.48 -34.3%

Over 2.5 47.0% 47.6% 2.10 -1.3%

Over 3.5 25.4% 26.3% 3.80 -3.5%

BTTS 52.9% 55.6% 1.80 -4.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.9%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0✓ 7.8%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Javor Ivanjica1.5

IMT N. Beograd1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JAVOR IVANJICA · PPG 1.59

IMT N. BEOGRAD · PPG 1.13

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

55%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Javor Ivanjica (H) 43.7%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV +17.1%

Draw 29.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.3%

IMT N. Beograd (A) 26.5%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV -34.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Javor Ivanjica face IMT N. Beograd in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Javor Ivanjica a 44% chance, the draw 30% and IMT N. Beograd 27%, so Javor Ivanjica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Javor Ivanjica and 1.1 for IMT N. Beograd (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Javor Ivanjica are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.13 for IMT N. Beograd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Javor Ivanjica vs IMT N. Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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