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Javor Ivanjica vs IMT N. Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Serbia - Super Liga logo Serbia flag Serbia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 34 Stadion Kraj Moravice· Ivanjica Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:30
Javor Ivanjica logo Javor Ivanjica PPG 1.59
0-0 HIT CS2
IMT N. Beograd logo IMT N. Beograd PPG 1.13
Home· +17.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Javor Ivanjica face IMT N. Beograd in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Javor Ivanjica a 44% chance, the draw 30% and IMT N. Beograd 27%, so Javor Ivanjica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Javor Ivanjica and 1.1 for IMT N. Beograd (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Javor Ivanjica are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.13 for IMT N. Beograd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.7%
Odds: 2.68 EV: +17.1%
Draw 29.9%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -4.3%
Away 26.5%
Odds: 2.48 EV: -34.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.0% Odds: 2.10 -1.3%
Over 3.5 25.4% Odds: 3.80 -3.5%
BTTS 52.9% Odds: 1.80 -4.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Javor Ivanjica
1.46
IMT N. Beograd
1.09

Model Suggestion

BTTS -4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+17.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 41%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -53.7%
Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

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