Ghazl El M. vs Ismaily Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 8 El-Gazel Stadium· El Mahalla El Kubra Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:00

Ghazl El M. PPG 1.21

0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Ismaily PPG 0.60

Draw· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ghazl El M. face Ismaily in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ghazl El M. a 42% chance, the draw 39% and Ismaily 19%, so Ghazl El M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ghazl El M. and 0.6 for Ismaily (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ghazl El M. are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.60 for Ismaily. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.6%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -8.5%

Draw 39.1%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +2.4%

Away 19.3%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -24.7%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 19.3% Odds: 3.50 -32.5%

Over 3.5 6.7% Odds: 7.50 -49.8%

BTTS 28.1% Odds: 2.60 -26.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ghazl El M.

0.95

Ismaily

0.56

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.21) > Away POOR (0.60)