Today / S. Liberec U19 vs Fastav Zlin U19

S. Liberec U19 vs Fastav Zlin U19 Prediction

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 08:00

S. Liberec U19 logo
S. Liberec U19
PPG 1.30 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Fastav Zlin U19 logo
Fastav Zlin U19
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.7%0-23.7%0-33.3%0-4+4.2%1 1-02.0%1-15.2%1-27.0%1-36.2%1-4+8.0%2 2-01.9%2-15.0%2-26.7%2-35.9%2-4+7.6%3 3-01.2%3-13.1%3-24.2%3-33.8%3-4+4.8%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.3%4+-23.1%4+-32.8%4+-4+3.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.1%
Draw 18.2%
Away win 54.7%
Over 2.5 83.5%
Over 3.5 67.1%
BTTS 79.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob79.2%

A 55% / xG 1.9-2.7 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 79%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.0%
#2 2–2 6.7%
#3 1–3 6.2%
#4 2–3 5.9%
#5 1–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Liberec U191.9
Fastav Zlin U192.7

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.5% · O3.5 PROB 67.1%

Form & verdict PPG

S. LIBEREC U19 · PPG 1.30

FASTAV ZLIN U19 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

S. Liberec U19 (H) 27.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fastav Zlin U19 (A) 54.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Liberec U19 face Fastav Zlin U19 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Liberec U19 a 27% chance, the draw 18% and Fastav Zlin U19 55%, so Fastav Zlin U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for S. Liberec U19 and 2.7 for Fastav Zlin U19 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Liberec U19 are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.00 for Fastav Zlin U19. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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