Today / Redlands vs Robina City

Redlands vs Robina City Prediction

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 08:00

Redlands

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Robina City

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.7%0-23.0%0-32.2%0-4+2.0%1 1-02.7%1-15.9%1-26.5%1-34.8%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.0%2-16.5%2-27.2%2-35.3%2-4+4.9%3 3-02.2%3-14.8%3-25.3%3-33.9%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-14.4%4+-24.9%4+-33.6%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 40.2% — — —

Over 2.5 81.6% — — —

Over 3.5 64.2% — — —

BTTS 79.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob79.2%

A 40% / xG 2.2-2.2 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 79%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2✓ 7.2%

#2 1–2 6.5%

#3 2–1 6.5%

#4 1–1 5.9%

#5 2–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Redlands2.2

Robina City2.2

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.6% · O3.5 PROB 64.2%

Form & verdict PPG

REDLANDS · PPG 1.50

ROBINA CITY · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=40.1%

Win probability 1X2

Redlands (H) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Robina City (A) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Redlands face Robina City on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Redlands a 40% chance, the draw 20% and Robina City 40%, so Robina City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Redlands and 2.2 for Robina City (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Redlands are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.33 for Robina City. This match finished 2-2.

Redlands vs Robina City Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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