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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 26 Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho· Kyiv Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:00
Dynamo Kyiv logo Dynamo Kyiv PPG 1.92
1-2 HIT CS2
Shakhtar logo Shakhtar PPG 2.17
Over3.5· +4.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.9%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -21.2%
Draw 27.4%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -8.2%
Away 41.7%
Odds: 2.45 EV: +2.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.7% Odds: 1.80 +3.9%
Over 3.5 35.3% Odds: 2.95 +4.1%
BTTS 61.7% Odds: 1.60 -1.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Dynamo Kyiv
1.38
Shakhtar
1.62

Model Suggestion

BTTS -1.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+4.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -3.6%
Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.92), Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

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