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Broadbeach Utd vs B. Strikers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 08:00

Broadbeach Utd

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

B. Strikers

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 67.8% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.7%0-25.3%0-33.3%0-4+2.4%1 1-04.9%1-19.3%1-28.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.2%3-14.0%3-23.8%3-32.3%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.3%4+-22.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% 50.0% 2.00 -32.6%

Draw 22.2% 28.6% 3.50 -22.3%

Away win 44.1% 34.5% 2.90 +27.9%

Over 2.5 67.7% — — —

Over 3.5 46.1% — — —

BTTS 67.8% 73.5% 1.36 -7.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob67.8%

A 44% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1✓ 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadbeach Utd1.6

B. Strikers1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADBEACH UTD · PPG 2.00

B. STRIKERS · PPG 2.50

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Broadbeach Utd (H) 33.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -32.6%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -22.3%

B. Strikers (A) 44.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +27.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadbeach Utd face B. Strikers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadbeach Utd a 34% chance, the draw 22% and B. Strikers 44%, so B. Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Broadbeach Utd and 1.9 for B. Strikers (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadbeach Utd are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.50 for B. Strikers. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +27.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Broadbeach Utd vs B. Strikers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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