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Noah vs Pyunik Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 15:00

Noah

PPG 2.17 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Pyunik

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-19.3%0-24.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.2%1-112.8%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.1%2-18.8%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-14.0%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% 56.5% 1.77 -21.2%

Draw 31.1% 29.9% 3.35 +4.2%

Away win 24.4% 23.8% 4.20 +2.5%

Over 2.5 41.5% 48.8% 2.05 -14.9%

Over 3.5 21.0% 27.0% 3.70 -22.3%

BTTS 48.2% 54.1% 1.85 -10.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0✓ 9.6%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 2–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Noah1.4

Pyunik1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NOAH · PPG 2.17

PYUNIK · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.82)

Win probability 1X2

Noah (H) 44.5%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -21.2%

Draw 31.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +4.2%

Pyunik (A) 24.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Noah face Pyunik in Armenia - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Noah a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Pyunik 24%, so Noah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Noah and 1.0 for Pyunik (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Noah are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.82 for Pyunik. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Noah vs Pyunik Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Armenia - Premier League Predictions