Today / North Star vs Ipswich

North Star vs Ipswich Prediction

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 07:45

North Star

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Ipswich

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-118.2%0-215.7%0-39.0%0-4+5.8%1 1-05.5%1-19.5%1-28.2%1-34.7%1-4+3.0%2 2-01.4%2-12.5%2-22.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.4%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 10.7% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 66.9% — — —

Over 2.5 39.1% — — —

Over 3.5 19.1% — — —

BTTS 33.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob33.5%

A 67% / xG 0.5-1.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.2%

#2 0–2 15.7%

#3 0–0 10.5%

#4 1–1 9.5%

#5 0–3 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

North Star0.5

Ipswich1.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.1% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NORTH STAR · PPG 1.00

IPSWICH · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

North Star (H) 10.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ipswich (A) 66.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

North Star face Ipswich on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Star a 11% chance, the draw 22% and Ipswich 67%, so Ipswich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for North Star and 1.7 for Ipswich (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Star are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Ipswich. This match finished 1-2.

North Star vs Ipswich Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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