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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00 
Merida PPG 2.00 
Lugo PPG 1.00
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00 Merida PPG 2.000-2 MISS
Lugo PPG 1.00Draw· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 41.2% Odds: 2.15 -11.4%
Over 3.5 20.7% Odds: 3.90 -19.3%
BTTS 48.5% Odds: 1.85 -10.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Merida 1.32
Lugo 1.01
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=41.9%