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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 35 Lezama Facilities· Lezama Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00
Athletic B. B logo Athletic B. B PPG 1.53
2-2 MISS
Ourense CF logo Ourense CF PPG 0.59
Draw· +14.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -29.1%
Draw 34.1%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +14.2%
Away 27.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: +4.9%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.8% Odds: 2.35 -20.6%
Over 3.5 15.3% Odds: 4.50 -31.1%
BTTS 42.9% Odds: 2.05 -12.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic B. B
1.13
Ourense CF
0.93

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.53) vs P(Home)=38.3%

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