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Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 32 Szusza Ferenc Stadion· Budapest Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00
Ujpest logo Ujpest PPG 1.38
0-5 MISS
Ferencvaros logo Ferencvaros PPG 2.25
Home· +43.0% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.0%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +43.0%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +8.0%
Away 47.0%
Odds: 1.52 EV: -28.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.9% Odds: 1.55 -11.8%
Over 3.5 34.5% Odds: 2.35 -18.9%
BTTS 60.1% Odds: 1.57 -5.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ujpest
1.24
Ferencvaros
1.72

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+43.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)

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