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Haras El Hodood vs El Geish Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League logo Egypt flag Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 8 Harras El Hodood Stadium· Alexandria Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00
Haras El Hodood logo Haras El Hodood PPG 1.07
0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
El Geish logo El Geish PPG 0.86
Home· +29.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Haras El Hodood face El Geish in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 35% chance, the draw 36% and El Geish 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.0 for Haras El Hodood and 0.9 for El Geish (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.86 for El Geish. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.5%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +29.4%
Draw 35.7%
Odds: 2.88 EV: +2.8%
Away 29.8%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -37.4%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.1% Odds: 2.80 -15.7%
Over 3.5 12.8% Odds: 6.00 -23.2%
BTTS 39.9% Odds: 2.25 -10.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Haras El Hodood
1.00
El Geish
0.91

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 4.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.86)

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