Haras El Hodood PPG 1.07
El Geish PPG 0.86Haras El Hodood face El Geish in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 35% chance, the draw 36% and El Geish 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.0 for Haras El Hodood and 0.9 for El Geish (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.86 for El Geish. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.4%. This match finished 0-0.
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.86)