Fredericia vs FC Kobenhavn Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Denmark - Superliga Relegation Group - 30 Monjasa Park· Fredericia Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00

Fredericia PPG 0.86

3-3 MISS

FC Kobenhavn PPG 1.57

Home· +26.9% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Fredericia face FC Kobenhavn in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fredericia a 24% chance, the draw 24% and FC Kobenhavn 53%, so FC Kobenhavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Fredericia and 2.1 for FC Kobenhavn (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fredericia are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.57 for FC Kobenhavn. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.9%. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.5%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +26.9%

Draw 23.7%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +4.3%

Away 52.9%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -19.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.5% Odds: 1.45 -2.1%

Over 3.5 45.8% Odds: 2.10 -3.8%

BTTS 66.9% Odds: 1.50 +0.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fredericia

1.38

FC Kobenhavn

2.10

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 60% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home POOR (0.86)