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Venda FC vs Leicesterford Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Venda FC

PPG 1.46 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Leicesterford

PPG 0.46 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-111.1%0-24.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.1%1-112.9%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-17.5%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-12.9%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% — — —

Draw 34.6% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 30.0% — — —

Over 3.5 12.8% — — —

BTTS 38.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob38.3%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.7%

#2 1–0 17.1%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 2–0✓ 10.0%

#5 0–1 11.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Venda FC1.2

Leicesterford0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VENDA FC · PPG 1.46

LEICESTERFORD · PPG 0.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs P(Home)=43.6%

Win probability 1X2

Venda FC (H) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Leicesterford (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Venda FC face Leicesterford in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Venda FC a 44% chance, the draw 35% and Leicesterford 22%, so Venda FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Venda FC and 0.8 for Leicesterford (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Venda FC are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.46 for Leicesterford. This match finished 2-0.

Venda FC vs Leicesterford Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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