← Back to picks 
South-Africa - 1st Division Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00 
Cape Town City PPG 1.86 
Baroka PPG 0.29
South-Africa - 1st Division Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00 Cape Town City PPG 1.861-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Baroka PPG 0.29Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.05 -6.1%
Over 3.5 17.4% Odds: 3.34 -25.1%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 2.13 -2.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✔
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cape Town City 1.71
Baroka 0.46
Model Suggestion
Home -16.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 24.2%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=59.7%