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Cape Town City vs Gomora United Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Cape Town City

PPG 1.77 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Gomora United

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-19.3%0-23.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.9%1-112.6%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-18.4%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.8%3-13.8%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 16.8% — — —

BTTS 42.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob42.2%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 15.9%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cape Town City1.3

Gomora United0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 16.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CAPE TOWN CITY · PPG 1.77

GOMORA UNITED · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.77) vs P(Home)=48.0%

Win probability 1X2

Cape Town City (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gomora United (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cape Town City face Gomora United in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cape Town City a 48% chance, the draw 32% and Gomora United 20%, so Cape Town City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cape Town City and 0.8 for Gomora United (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cape Town City are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 0.77 for Gomora United. This match finished 4-0.

Cape Town City vs Gomora United Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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